Updates from April, 2009 Hide threads | Keyboard Shortcuts

  • We Have Met the Enemy 

    epigonic 9:58 pm on April 24, 2009 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment

    I'm sorry, but I've now officially had it with puritanical lefties who are "disappointed" in Barack Obama because he's not quite pure enough for their tastes.

    This post from David Kurtz at TPM (a site I love) pushed me over the top and compelled me to blog on a Friday night.

    Here we have a President who is pushing — by far — the most progressive agenda in nearly 50 years and shows real signs of greatness. But that's not enough for the rigid purists.

    I think Obama has been terrific so far; I'm an adult, I fully understand why he has to compromise on some of these issues. The disappointment has come from pundits and bloggers on the left. After eight years of George Bush, and an election lost in 2000 in part because so many on the left saw no distinction between Al Gore and Bush, you'd think a lesson would have been learned.

     
  • VandeHarris (John Harris, Jim Vandehei) from Politico on First 100 Days 

    epigonic 11:18 am on April 24, 2009 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment

    This is a fun, informal, sort-of “behind-the-scenes” feel video from top editors at Politico on Obama’s first 100 days.

    more about "VandeHarris (John Harris, Jim Vandehe…", posted with vodpod

     
  • Matt of WordPress: Blogs Dead? No. 

    epigonic 4:35 am on April 24, 2009 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment

    Found this writeup of a conversation between Andrew Keen and Matt Mullenweg via Matt’s blog (so I assume he endorses this quote):

    “Blogs will become aggregation points,” the shamefully youthful, soft-spoken Mullenweg explained, as he mapped out the future of blogging for me between bites of Dutch smoked salmon. “They will become our personal hub. Places where we store all our personal media content such as our flickr photos and Twitter posts.”

    That’s a vision we buy into at Vodpod.

    When we launched Vodpod 28 months ago, we started by offering cool, simple widgets that let you put your favorite videos in an interactive gallery on your blog.  We’ve expanded the array of tools for bloggers since then; some bloggers have built entire sites using our API.

    We’re big believers in both blogs, and bloggers.  If they were stocks, we’d be long. That hasn’t changed, our belief hasn’t wavered these past two years, despite the hype give to other platforms.

    We have some very interesting things up our sleeves for the blogging community. Stay tuned.

     
  • Microsoft Earnings 

    epigonic 3:40 am on April 24, 2009 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment

    I haven’t digested in any depth, and I won’t. Just know that the headline is bad.

    My main reaction: how could anyone be surprised? Their products stink. Have for a long time.

    I adandoned the Microsoft OS, and almost all MSFT software, in 2004 and have happily never looked back. I bought a $500 HP PC with Vista last year for testing, and it was so stuffed full of craplets and so horrible to use I had to move it to another room.

    Between more full-throated web applications, the Apple renaissance, and open source, you really don’t need to use a PC any longer. And once you know you have a choice, why would you want to? That’s what is killing Microsoft; the economic downturn is just the accelerant.

     
  • Why We Tweet: A Theory 

    epigonic 9:12 pm on April 18, 2009 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment

    In my last post here, I suggested that Twitter-cum-phenomenon was starting to feel like the Florida real estate market circa 2005 (hype growth of the service far outstripping the substantive value it provides). Given that Oprah focused her show on Twitter yesterday, I thought I should follow up that last post by trying to unpack the riddle of Twitter’s appeal.

    Dave Winer wrote this on Scripting.com earlier in the week:

    I read Farhad Manjoo’s piece in Slate about Twitter. It’s the best of a class of commentary that says that Twitter is something you can skip if you aren’t interested in periodic 140-character reports on mundane people’s lives. As I read the piece it made sense, so I was left wondering why I was and still am attracted to Twitter and use it, daily.

    I set up my first Twitter account (one of 5-6) back in September 2006. It had just launched, but geeks here in San Francisco were talking and blogging about it. I have been an on, then off, then on-again Twitterer, and have asked the same question regularly: “Why am I here? What am I really getting out of this?”

    ************************

    The Twitter team’s web craft (by that, I mean the art of building a seductive and usable service) was what initially attracted me. It has always been a joy to use and is impressively made, in a million very subtle ways.  Understanding what they’ve done well I think helps us to understand the appeal the service has had, even when so many of us have so often said: “I don’t get it.”

    Here are the things I’ve particularly admired as a fellow web crafter:

    1. Asynchronous Following

    At the time Twitter launched, the canonical social media approach was “friending” — a reciprocal relationship. Myspace, Flickr, Facebook, and dozens of other imitative social networks required (and still require, in many cases) this form of relationship. The requirement of reciprocity can feel restrictive, confining, claustrophobic and artificial all at once. Twitter picked the lock on this — first, with a hybridized approach of “friending” and “following” (like subscribing to a blog feed, but in a way that feels much more personal), and then abandoned “friending” altogether.

    Asynchronous following allowed Twitter to become a publishing platform, but with the ease and intimacy of a communications service. Celebrities and others could use Twitter to broadcast to their fans and followers, with hardly any effort at all.  Ashton Kutcher can have over a million followers because there is no reciprocity — he doesn’t have to follow them back. And it has allowed those 1 million + Twitterers who follow Kutcher get to indulge in one of the web’s guilty pleasures — lurking and stalking, with a crafty and weird combination of both anonymity (“I’m one of a million, Ashton can’t tell I read that Tweet”) and intimacy (“I’m listed as one of Ashton’s followers!”).

    2.  Ease-of-use and the 140-Character Limit

    Novelists often talk about the tyranny of a blank piece of paper. That same terror probably keeps blogging from becoming a more popular. Writing is damned hard, it takes time and effort, you have to be committed. Twitter, by sticking hard to the 140-character limit in order to inter-operate with SMS, instantly solved that problem (I don’t think that was a lucky accident; after all Ev and Biz built blogger and saw first-hand the hurdles in front of bloggers).

    Suddenly you could publish publicly on the web with less effort than it takes to write an e-mail. The short-form limitation took the pressure off, and leveled the playing field. Yeats, were he on Twitter, wouldn’t necessarily Tweet better than you or I.

    3. The Feeling That You’re Not Alone

    Last — and for me, by far, most crucially and impressively — were the simple ways the Twitter team visually articulated the notion of “following” on Twitter.  The co-mingling of Tweets you write with those from people you follow was an absolute stroke of genius. It gives the appearance — an illusion, perhaps — that someone is out there paying attention.

    It’s instructive to think about this in comparison to blogging. I am typing this post from my very trusty and capable WordPress.com dashboard. To my left and my right are every command and tool I might need as a publisher. But when I hit the publish button, I’ve not a clue that anyone will read this. It goes out to the ether, to a WordPress.com server, and then sits inert in the form of a web page that may or may not ever be seen.

    Contrast that to Twitter. Whether I’m writing a Tweet from a client like Tweetdeck or Twhirl, or Twitter.com, not a publishing tool in sight. But I’m surrounded by people. Tweets from people I follow. As soon as I hit enter, my tweet is right there in the stream. I know, intuitively, that people will probably read my Tweet; after all, staring me in the face are short messages from the people I follow. Maybe a few of my 300-odd followers will read what I’ve had to say.

    I hadn’t thought about the contrast with the actual act and process of blogging until this past week. And, in the end, this contrast solves the riddle for me.

    This UI, and the publishing mechanics of Twitter, are not technical innovations; they are psychological ones.  They give you the visceral feeling that someone out there is listening, that someone is paying attention to you.  Inventions from the community — like the use of “@” for replies, and retweets, have simply reinforced all that.

    You don’t get that from blogging –  the notion of an audience feels more abstract; your readers more distant; the perception that you are being heard more attenuated.

    ************************

    In the end, we’re left with a paradox or two. The act of Twittering  sustains — people Tweet because it’s easy, and it gives them the appearance someone is out there, listening. But the substantive value of these Tweets for readers is at best debatable.

    The act of blogging feels isolated, silo’d, lonely even — at least compared to Twitter. But the substantive results from blogging can be impressive, useful, even life-changing for the reader.

    UPDATE: Virginia Heffernan has an interesting take on Twitter in tomorrow’s NY Times magazine.

     
  • The Morons of the GOP and Fox 

    epigonic 11:27 am on April 13, 2009 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment

    Ooops! Wonder if Newt will say, “My bad!”

    more about "The Morons of the GOP and Fox", posted with vodpod

     
  • Obama Visits Iraq 

    epigonic 10:06 am on April 7, 2009 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment

    Here’s the BBC’s description:

    The president then shook hands with many of the soldiers, who greeted him with cheers and shouts of “we love you Obama”.

    Here’s the NY Times dry description of Obama’s visit to Iraq today:

    Addressing hundreds of troops gathered at a military base here, Mr.
    Obama said that it was time for Iraqis to “take responsibility for
    their country,” winning enthusiastic applause.

    Here’s FoxNews:

    Obama’s appearance pleased troops interviewed by reporters. They said they
    were gratified the new president came to visit so soon after taking office. 

    “We love you,” shouted a few
    troops
    . The president shouted he loved them back. (emphasis mine)

    It’s funny, for all the claims the media is in the tank for Obama, it’s clear the US media can’t quite bring themselves to admit that people might like and admire the man.

    Here is the video from Politico, you be the judge.

     
  • On Florida Real Estate, Ponzi Schemes and Twitter 

    epigonic 9:37 pm on April 6, 2009 Permalink | Log in to leave a Comment

    Back in early February (2009), there was a very worth piece by George Packer in the New Yorker titled “The Ponzi State” (it’s behind a registration wall, I’m sad to report). The gist of Packer’s piece was that economic growth in Florida required a constant influx of new people.  With very few underlying industries or major businesses, many in the state made their living selling houses or building them.  As long as there was a constant influx of new people with money in their pockets to buy those houses, everyone was happy. House prices went up, more people moved to Florida to buy houses thinking prices would continue to go up, many of them got jobs selling or building more new houses, and so on.

    Then everything came crashing down in 2007. Without that constant influx of new people, turns out there was no “there, there.”

    That article has been rumbling around the back of my head as I’ve watched the hyper-explosion of Twitter the past couple of months. I’ve been wondering: is Twitter’s growth driven by some underlying fundamental benefit it provides? Or, is it like Florida — dependent on a constant influx of new people to the service? And if the latter, what happens when the growth peters out? Is all this growth and hype just inflating a big “Twitter Bubble?”

    I think the answer is yes. And I realize that writing this is complete and utter heresy in the current moment. Hear me out.

    I admire Twitter as web craft. It is very, very nicely made. But in general, how much value does a series of 140-character messages really provide? Go look at the feeds for any of the top 100 or 200 Twitterers. How much value is really there? Look hard at your feed for a day — how essential was it to get those Tweets in real-time, really?

    At the very, very best, I think you have to conclude the jury is out.  At the very worst, it’s a big, stinking, very perishable pile of inanity — mostly crap, with a very short shelf-life.

    So why the hype? Traffic. People — bloggers especially, those in Silicon Valley or the tech industry even more particularly — have realized that Twittering can send traffic.  This is why Jason Calacanis offered $250,000 for one of the 20 recommended user slots on Twitter.  It’s why so many top twitterers include links in their tweets, usually to their own properties. And why so many in the SEO/SEM business have flocked to use Twitter.

    So it’s all good, right? Twitter is the new Google, a new fountain of traffic for web properties? That depends on how you look at it, and whether you think Twitter provides some essential, fundamental value. If you question whether it provides much value other than the potential to drive you traffic, the Florida real estate cum ponzi scheme analogy goes like this: people are flocking to Twitter mostly because they believe it has the potential to drive traffic, and as long as people flock in that perception is fulfilled.

    The problems start occuring when the growth slows down, or stops.

    And this movie, we’ve seen it before. Digg and Facebook got the same (ok, not quite the same) levels of hype in their days of ascendancy, for the same reasons. People thought they could be tamed, harnessed, used as traffic hoses. As growth (or the perception of growth) in traffic from those services decreased, so to did the hype attendant on them decrease, at least among the digerati. But unlike Twitter, one could argue Facebook, and to a lesser extent Digg, provided some more meaningful, underlying value to their end users.

    In short, I think it’s arguable there is a Twitter bubble now, just as there was Florida real estate bubble in the early 2000s. It’s being propped up by perception of future, unending growth. A lot of people joining because they believe in the dream — that they can gain a lot of followers, and turn those followers into dependable “viewers” or “buyers” or “believers” or whatever.  And instead of real estate agents, we have “social media consultants,” SEO folks, web designers, entrepreneurs, politicians, and celebrities pitching themselves, or their links. In short, it’s a few million people furiously on the make.

    That’s not to say Twitter is worthless, that it has no value. The value is exactly what you’d expect a steady diet of 140-character messages would provide.

    Rather, just like Florida real estate at the height of the bubble (and Facebook two years ago), the value is a lot less than we currently perceive. It’s not the next Google. Heck, it’s not even the next YouTube (a company, it turns out, that was underhyped!).

    And that the crash might be a hard one.

     
c
compose new post
j
next post/next comment
k
previous post/previous comment
r
reply
e
edit
o
show/hide comments
t
go to top
l
go to login
h
show/hide help
esc
cancel